BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Des Moines Lincoln

Class: 4A Class Rank: 20 Conference: (16-7) Overall: (16-8) Overall Strength =   85.03

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Away    W *  96.13  62   50   4A   25 (10-11) Fort Dodge             11.10      0.90                      
  2 12/01/2006 Away    L *  82.98  57   68   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 -2.05     -8.95                      
  3 12/05/2006 Home    L *  84.18  54   55   4A   17 (12-10) WDM Dowling            -0.85     -0.15                      
  4 12/08/2006 Home    L *  73.40  49   52   4A   34 (10-13) Ottumwa               -11.63      8.63                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    W *  92.22  59   54   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley              7.19     -2.19                      
  6 12/15/2006 Away    W *  98.25  60   47   4A   24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover      13.22     -0.22                      
  7 12/19/2006 Home    W *  88.20  75   64   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East         3.17      7.83                      
  8 01/05/2007 Away    W *  88.09  55   53   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt    3.06     -1.06                      
  9 01/12/2007 Home    W *  89.71  86   59   4A   47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North        4.68     22.32                      
 10 01/16/2007 Away    L *  76.36  57   74   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola              -8.67     -8.33                      
 11 01/19/2007 Home    W *  82.39  60   59   4A   24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover      -2.64      3.64                      
 12 01/23/2007 Home    W *  85.41  67   66   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          0.38      0.62                      
 13 01/26/2007 Away    W *  91.06  64   54   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East         6.03      3.97                      
 14 01/30/2007 Home    W *  85.95  59   41   4A   44 ( 4-17) Mason City              0.92     17.08                      
 15 02/02/2007 Home    W *  87.23  70   65   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt    2.20      2.80                      
 16 02/06/2007 Away    L *  76.44  49   55   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown           -8.59      2.59                      
 17 02/09/2007 Away    L *  54.57  61   73   4A   47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North      -30.46     18.46                      
 18 02/16/2007 Away    W *  83.25  49   46   4A   34 (10-13) Ottumwa                -1.78      4.78                      
 19 02/19/2007 Away    W *  95.12  57   53   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   10.09     -6.09  was 02/13 now 02/19 
 20 02/20/2007 Home    L *  68.55  50   73   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale             -16.48     -6.52                      
 21 02/23/2007 Home    W *  86.81  75   68   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                  1.78      5.22                      
 22 03/03/2007 Home    W *  85.41  56   55   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          0.38      0.62                      
 23 03/06/2007 Neutral W *  94.15  82   77   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley              9.12     -4.12                      
 24 03/14/2007 Neutral L    94.85  65   67   4A    2 (22- 4) Cedar Rapids Kennedy    9.82    -11.82                      
      Averages              85.03  61.6 59.5

Best game:   98.25 = 13 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game:  54.57 = 12 point loss to Des Moines North
Team stdev:   9.82